EpiCast Report: Brain Cancer – Epidemiology Forecast to 2024

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EpiCast Report: Brain Cancer – Epidemiology Forecast to 2024

Summary

Primary brain cancer is defined as a malignant neoplasm that originates in the central nervous system (CNS), which consists of the brain and spinal cord, including the brain stem (NCI, 2015). The American Brain Tumor Association (ABTA) reports that there are over 120 different types of malignant and benign brain tumors, (ABTA, 2014). The type and severity of a brain tumor is defined by the cells from which the tumor originated, as well as by the proliferative potential of the abnormal growth, and only those tumors that are malignant are designated as cancer (NCI, 2015). Primary brain tumors are those that start in the brain and may, in time, migrate elsewhere in the body, while metastatic brain tumors are those that start elsewhere in the body and migrate to the brain or other parts of the CNS.

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In the seven major markets (7MM) (US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, and Japan), GlobalData epidemiologists forecast that the diagnosed incident cases of brain cancer will increase from 55,084 cases in 2014 to 62,226 cases in 2024, at an Annual Growth Rate (AGR) of 1.30%. The US will have the highest number of diagnosed incident cases of brain cancer among the 7MM throughout the forecast period. The five-year diagnosed prevalent cases of brain cancer are also expected to increase from 84,704 cases in 2014 to 89,984 cases in 2024, at an AGR of 0.62%. The US will have the highest number of five-year diagnosed prevalent cases of brain cancer in 2014 and 2024, at 42,104 cases and 46,401 cases, respectively.

This report provides an overview of the risk factors, comorbidities, and the global and historical trends for brain cancer in the 7MM. It includes a 10-year epidemiological forecast for the diagnosed incident cases and the five-year diagnosed prevalent cases of brain cancer, each segmented by Gender and age. Additionally, it includes a forecast for the diagnosed incident cases of brain cancer, segmented by type (glioblastoma, meningioma, ependymoma, oligodendroglioma, and CNS lymphoma). This forecast for brain cancer includes only primary malignant brain tumors originating in the CNS (ICD-10 codes C70-C72).

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Chapter One Industry Overview

1 Table of Contents
1 Table of Contents 4
1.1 List of Tables 5
1.2 List of Figures 6
2 Introduction 7
2.1 Catalyst 7
2.2 Related Reports 7
2.3 Upcoming Reports 8
3 Epidemiology 9
3.1 Disease Background 9
3.2 Risk Factors and Comorbidities 10
3.3 Global Trends 11
3.3.1 7MM Incidence Trends 11
3.3.2 7MM Trends in Relative Survival 13
3.4 Forecast Methodology 14
3.4.1 Sources Used 14
3.4.2 Sources Not Used 18
3.4.3 Forecast Assumptions and Methods 19
3.5 Epidemiological Forecast for Brain Cancer (2014-2024) 21
3.5.1 Diagnosed Incident Cases of Brain Cancer 21
3.5.2 Age-Specific Diagnosed Incidence of Brain Cancer 23
3.5.3 Gender-Specific Diagnosed Incident Cases of Brain Cancer 25
3.5.4 Age-Standardized Diagnosed Incidence of Brain Cancer 27
3.5.5 Five-Year Diagnosed Prevalent Cases of Brain Cancer 28
3.5.6 Diagnosed Incident Cases of Brain Cancer by Type 30
3.6 Discussion 31
3.6.1 Epidemiological Forecast Insight 31
3.6.2 Limitations of the Analysis 32
3.6.3 Strengths of the Analysis 33
4 Appendix 34
4.1 Bibliography 34
4.2 About the Authors 37
4.2.1 Epidemiologists 37
4.2.2 Reviewers 37
4.2.3 Global Director of Therapy Analysis and Epidemiology 39
4.2.4 Global Head of Healthcare 39
4.3 About GlobalData 40
4.4 About EpiCast 40
4.5 Disclaimer 41

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